tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Syracuse via Chicago: arrives on time 69%

  1. 07:30 JFK → 09:25 ORD
    DL 4725 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 55m · 74% on time, 12.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 58m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:23 ORD → 16:26 SYR
    AA 3819 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 03m · 84% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 58m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (12.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 56mJFK 07:30 to SYR 16:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.