tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 68%

  1. 07:00 MSN → 09:25 DTW
    DL 4765 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 25m · 86% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:15 DTW → 14:00 LGA
    DL 1669 · Delta · 1h 45m · 76% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 00mMSN 07:00 to LGA 14:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.