tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Detroit via Minneapolis: arrives on time 59%

  1. 13:49 MDW → 15:33 MSP
    DL 4820 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 44m · 68% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 03m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:36 MSP → 20:22 DTW
    DL 1435 · Delta · 1h 46m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 03m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 33mMDW 13:49 to DTW 20:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.