tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Houston via Minneapolis: arrives on time 65%

  1. 13:49 MDW → 15:33 MSP
    DL 4820 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 44m · 68% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:40 MSP → 21:37 IAH
    DL 2683 · Delta · 2h 57m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 48mMDW 13:49 to IAH 21:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.