tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Springfield → Denver via Atlanta: arrives on time 74%

  1. 15:30 SGF → 18:25 ATL
    DL 4854 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 56m · 52% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 29m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:54 ATL → 22:12 DEN
    DL 493 · Delta · 3h 18m · 79% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Springfield). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 104 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 29m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 42mSGF 15:30 to DEN 22:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.