tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Springfield → Las Vegas via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 15:30 SGF → 18:25 ATL
    DL 4854 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 56m · 52% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ATL → 22:39 LAS
    DL 825 · Delta · 4h 19m · 67% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Springfield). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip9h 09mSGF 15:30 to LAS 22:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.