tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Dulles via Kansas City: arrives on time 87%

  1. 06:55 MSP → 08:33 MCI
    DL 4867 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 38m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in Kansas City (MCI) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:30 MCI → 16:03 IAD
    UA 688 · United · 2h 33m · 92% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip8h 08mMSP 06:55 to IAD 16:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.