tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Seattle via Detroit: arrives on time 51%

  1. 10:30 IND → 11:45 DTW
    DL 4875 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 15m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:31 DTW → 14:30 SEA
    DL 728 · Delta · 4h 59m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Indianapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 00mIND 10:30 to SEA 14:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.