tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Boston via New York: arrives on time 51%

  1. 11:10 IND → 13:14 LGA
    DL 4883 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 04m · 76% on time, 6.2% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 LGA → 15:29 BOS
    DL 5739 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 29m · 80% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (6.2% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 19mIND 11:10 to BOS 15:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.