tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Charlotte via New York: arrives on time 47%

  1. 11:10 IND → 13:14 LGA
    DL 4883 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 04m · 76% on time, 6.2% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:05 LGA → 16:23 CLT
    DL 5828 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 17m · 72% on time, 6.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (6.2% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (6.2% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 12mIND 11:10 to CLT 16:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.