tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Denver via Detroit: arrives on time 54%

  1. 17:24 XNA → 20:36 DTW
    DL 4895 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 13m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:36 DTW → 22:44 DEN
    DL 1644 · Delta · 3h 08m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 20mXNA 17:24 to DEN 22:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.