tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Atlanta via Minneapolis: arrives on time 46%

  1. 18:35 TVC → 19:14 MSP
    DL 4915 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 39m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 MSP → 23:47 ATL
    DL 1032 · Delta · 2h 37m · 83% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 12mTVC 18:35 to ATL 23:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.