tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Boston via Minneapolis: arrives on time 43%

  1. 18:35 TVC → 19:14 MSP
    DL 4915 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 39m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:09 MSP → 23:57 BOS
    DL 2614 · Delta · 2h 48m · 79% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 22mTVC 18:35 to BOS 23:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.