tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Buffalo via New York: arrives on time 64%

  1. 10:00 BNA → 13:30 JFK
    DL 4919 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 30m · 75% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 59m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:29 JFK → 19:25 BUF
    DL 5250 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 57m · 74% on time, 8.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 194 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 59m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (8.9% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip8h 26mBNA 10:00 to BUF 19:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.