tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Chicago via Nashville: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:44 JFK → 09:20 BNA
    DL 4919 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 36m · 83% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:55 BNA → 14:30 MDW
    WN 1430 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 82% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 46mJFK 07:44 to MDW 14:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.