tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Raleigh/Durham via Nashville: arrives on time 83%

  1. 07:44 JFK → 09:20 BNA
    DL 4919 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 36m · 83% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:00 BNA → 14:42 RDU
    AA 4639 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 43m · 89% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 59mJFK 07:44 to RDU 14:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.