tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Hebron via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 53%

  1. 09:52 AUS → 14:07 RDU
    DL 4921 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 3h 15m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:55 RDU → 16:41 CVG
    DL 4911 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 46m · 80% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 49mAUS 09:52 to CVG 16:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.