tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Denver via Minneapolis: arrives on time 48%

  1. 19:51 SDF → 21:02 MSP
    DL 4923 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 11m · 62% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:15 MSP → 23:27 DEN
    DL 1705 · Delta · 2h 12m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 36mSDF 19:51 to DEN 23:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.