tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Washington via Detroit: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:40 IND → 07:55 DTW
    DL 4924 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 15m · 92% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 DTW → 11:34 DCA
    DL 2476 · Delta · 1h 29m · 87% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 54mIND 06:40 to DCA 11:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.