tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Las Vegas via Minneapolis: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:49 SDF → 08:00 MSP
    DL 4928 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 11m · 82% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 MSP → 12:26 LAS
    DL 2238 · Delta · 3h 18m · 83% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 39mSDF 06:49 to LAS 12:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.