tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:49 SDF → 08:00 MSP
    DL 4928 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 11m · 82% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 MSP → 13:46 LGA
    DL 2764 · Delta · 2h 41m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 57mSDF 06:49 to LGA 13:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.