tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Dallas-Fort Worth via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:49 SDF → 08:00 MSP
    DL 4928 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 11m · 82% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 03m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:03 MSP → 12:30 DFW
    DL 2970 · Delta · 2h 30m · 83% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 03m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 44mSDF 06:49 to DFW 12:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.