tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Washington via Minneapolis: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:49 SDF → 08:00 MSP
    DL 4928 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 11m · 82% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:26 MSP → 13:48 DCA
    DL 2983 · Delta · 2h 23m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 00mSDF 06:49 to DCA 13:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.