tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Newark via Minneapolis: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:49 SDF → 08:00 MSP
    DL 4928 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 11m · 82% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 14m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:14 MSP → 14:00 EWR
    UA 1637 · United · 2h 46m · 83% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 14m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 11mSDF 06:49 to EWR 14:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.