tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

White Plains → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 10:29 HPN → 12:53 ATL
    DL 4930 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 24m · 83% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:38 ATL → 17:16 MSP
    DL 2981 · Delta · 2h 39m · 74% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind White Plains). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 48mHPN 10:29 to MSP 17:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.