tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Detroit via New York: arrives on time 64%

  1. 11:10 BHM → 14:45 LGA
    DL 4936 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 35m · 74% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 LGA → 19:15 DTW
    DL 999 · Delta · 2h 15m · 74% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 05mBHM 11:10 to DTW 19:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.