tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Detroit via St Louis: arrives on time 86%

  1. 06:30 LGA → 08:08 STL
    DL 4939 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 38m · 89% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 12m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:20 STL → 12:55 DTW
    DL 2868 · Delta · 1h 35m · 92% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 87 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 12m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 25mLGA 06:30 to DTW 12:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.