tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 50%

  1. 11:27 ATW → 12:48 MSP
    DL 4951 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 21m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:20 MSP → 17:02 ORD
    DL 1306 · Delta · 1h 42m · 57% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip5h 35mATW 11:27 to ORD 17:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.