tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Las Vegas via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 11:27 ATW → 12:48 MSP
    DL 4951 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 21m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 03m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:51 MSP → 16:10 LAS
    DL 1542 · Delta · 3h 19m · 86% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Appleton). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 03m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 43mATW 11:27 to LAS 16:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.