tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → Nashville via New York: arrives on time 41%

  1. 17:15 CLE → 19:09 JFK
    DL 4975 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 54m · 72% on time, 8.7% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 JFK → 22:05 BNA
    DL 4908 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 54m · 74% on time, 7.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Cleveland). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (8.7% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (7.8% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 39mCLE 17:15 to BNA 22:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.