tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Detroit via Indianapolis: arrives on time 89%

  1. 09:50 JFK → 12:12 IND
    DL 4976 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 26m · 86% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in Indianapolis (IND) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 IND → 17:19 DTW
    DL 5846 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 183 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip7h 30mJFK 09:50 to DTW 17:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.