tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Miami via New York: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:00 BHM → 09:29 LGA
    DL 4977 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 29m · 90% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:09 LGA → 14:21 MIA
    AA 3076 · American · 3h 12m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 21mBHM 06:00 to MIA 14:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.