tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via New York: arrives on time 66%

  1. 06:00 BHM → 09:29 LGA
    DL 4977 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 29m · 90% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 LGA → 13:33 TPA
    DL 2195 · Delta · 2h 52m · 79% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 32mBHM 06:00 to TPA 13:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.