tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Nashville via New York: arrives on time 54%

  1. 06:00 BHM → 09:29 LGA
    DL 4977 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 29m · 90% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 36m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:05 LGA → 12:30 BNA
    WN 2407 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 73% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 36m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 30mBHM 06:00 to BNA 12:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.