tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Washington via New York: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:00 BHM → 09:29 LGA
    DL 4977 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 29m · 90% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 51m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:20 LGA → 12:46 DCA
    DL 5749 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 78% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 66 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 51m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 46mBHM 06:00 to DCA 12:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.