tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Houston via New York: arrives on time 65%

  1. 06:05 STL → 09:38 LGA
    DL 4981 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 33m · 90% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:54 LGA → 13:43 IAH
    DL 2099 · Delta · 3h 49m · 76% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 38mSTL 06:05 to IAH 13:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.