tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Charlotte via New York: arrives on time 43%

  1. 17:15 IND → 19:39 JFK
    DL 4984 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 24m · 76% on time, 8.2% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:29 JFK → 23:03 CLT
    DL 5036 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 33m · 72% on time, 8.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (8.2% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (8.2% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 47mIND 17:15 to CLT 23:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.