tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Los Angeles via New York: arrives on time 46%

  1. 17:15 IND → 19:39 JFK
    DL 4984 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 24m · 76% on time, 8.2% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 JFK → 23:41 LAX
    DL 752 · Delta · 6h 16m · 73% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Indianapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (8.2% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip9h 26mIND 17:15 to LAX 23:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.