tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Los Angeles via Indianapolis: arrives on time 63%

  1. 13:59 JFK → 16:32 IND
    DL 4984 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 33m · 81% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Indianapolis (IND) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:25 IND → 18:49 LAX
    DL 861 · Delta · 4h 24m · 87% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 50mJFK 13:59 to LAX 18:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.