tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Atlanta via Minneapolis: arrives on time 83%

  1. 12:40 SDF → 13:48 MSP
    DL 4988 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 08m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 27m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 MSP → 20:56 ATL
    DL 1036 · Delta · 2h 41m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 162 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 27m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 16mSDF 12:40 to ATL 20:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.