tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Detroit via Minneapolis: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:00 ATW → 07:20 MSP
    DL 4995 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 20m · 90% on time, 5.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 MSP → 11:43 DTW
    DL 1433 · Delta · 1h 43m · 89% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Appleton). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (5.5% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 43mATW 06:00 to DTW 11:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.