tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 60%

  1. 06:00 ATW → 07:20 MSP
    DL 4995 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 20m · 90% on time, 5.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 MSP → 11:32 ORD
    DL 1567 · Delta · 1h 31m · 72% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (5.5% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 31mATW 06:00 to ORD 11:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.