tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Las Vegas via Minneapolis: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:00 ATW → 07:20 MSP
    DL 4995 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 20m · 90% on time, 5.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 MSP → 12:26 LAS
    DL 2238 · Delta · 3h 18m · 83% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Appleton). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (5.5% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 28mATW 06:00 to LAS 12:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.