tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 58%

  1. 10:54 DSM → 12:06 MSP
    DL 4998 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 12m · 86% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 32m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:38 MSP → 18:18 MDW
    DL 4714 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 39m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 227 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 32m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip7h 23mDSM 10:54 to MDW 18:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.