tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Phoenix via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 10:54 DSM → 12:06 MSP
    DL 4998 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 12m · 86% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:47 MSP → 16:10 PHX
    AA 2146 · American · 3h 23m · 86% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 16mDSM 10:54 to PHX 16:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.