tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Detroit via Minneapolis: arrives on time 71%

  1. 10:54 DSM → 12:06 MSP
    DL 4998 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 12m · 86% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:55 MSP → 15:38 DTW
    DL 1519 · Delta · 1h 43m · 91% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip3h 44mDSM 10:54 to DTW 15:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.