tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Phoenix via Minneapolis: arrives on time 78%

  1. 10:54 DSM → 12:06 MSP
    DL 4998 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 12m · 86% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:54 MSP → 16:09 PHX
    DL 2284 · Delta · 3h 21m · 82% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 21mDSM 10:54 to PHX 16:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.