tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Greenville → Detroit via New York: arrives on time 32%

  1. 18:10 GSP → 20:11 LGA
    DL 5004 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 01m · 63% on time, 9.8% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 LGA → 23:10 DTW
    DL 1014 · Delta · 2h 10m · 70% on time, 5.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (9.8% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (5.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 00mGSP 18:10 to DTW 23:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.