tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Greenville → Washington via New York: arrives on time 27%

  1. 18:10 GSP → 20:11 LGA
    DL 5004 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 01m · 63% on time, 9.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 LGA → 22:55 DCA
    DL 1825 · Delta · 1h 30m · 47% on time, 6.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (9.8% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (6.2% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip4h 45mGSP 18:10 to DCA 22:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.