tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Miami via Washington: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:00 RDU → 07:19 DCA
    DL 5006 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 19m · 82% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 36m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:55 DCA → 12:38 MIA
    AA 1173 · American · 2h 43m · 88% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 66 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 36m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 38mRDU 06:00 to MIA 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.